Forecasting the development of the economy of Ukraine according to the one-sector Solow model

Economic forecasting is an important tool for many actors in the economy, such as governments, companies, investors and consumers. The difficult economic conditions caused by war cause need to determine possible development of economy Ukraine, assuming that a catastrophe would not have occurred. paper examines use single-sector Solow model Ukraine's 2022-2027, absence hostilities. reason choosing this particular is: allows you calculate indicators potential output growth rates, which help future economy; can be used assess impact various policies on production; does take into account complex dependencies detailing sectors economy. This faster easier main trends key factors growth. Statistical data 2010-2021 were model, based models changes share working population, intensity investment, production function coefficients calculated. As result table's calculations, there direct uncertainty, stock market, according forecast, will continue fall, despite constant rise statistical data. has values are typical developed countries. For them, coefficient must two-digit, degree at - less than one. Armed forces Ukraine should grow scenario 1, i.e. very slowly, but fact forecast downward. limitations regarding idea works stable do inherent inflation, financial crises, trade barriers, wear tear equipment, anomalous type function, etc. Therefore, practically suitable current period. Further research aimed determining reasons decline model.